Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1229.921953 1396.244331 1580.649104 1800.938662 2057.810644 2348.919566 2705.274363
2025-09-28 938.163991 1147.519109 1400.818974 1732.512465 2159.309546 2695.297734 3427.734702
2025-10-05 830.304619 1067.544294 1372.042184 1796.917815 2383.040487 3175.954924 4351.997662
2025-10-12 742.371299 992.820738 1329.738166 1824.626260 2547.586156 3588.515820 5244.609227
2025-10-19 671.574099 928.302006 1287.646898 1839.205775 2686.052753 3974.273086 6157.195299
2025-10-26 614.198723 873.816039 1250.084771 1850.618231 2814.843429 4357.032124 7127.715385
2025-11-02 577.095922 843.431744 1242.273475 1902.875190 3010.111425 4869.574856 8409.226732
2025-11-09 540.612252 809.317418 1223.686506 1933.442921 3170.800497 5344.934514 9715.309621
2025-11-16 506.879187 775.565581 1201.155228 1953.039418 3312.726031 5805.748779 11084.950367
2025-11-23 477.745084 745.998471 1181.680865 1974.186936 3458.167944 6292.940495 12608.821662
2025-11-30 454.660483 723.921093 1171.913121 2010.214767 3634.451231 6865.618534 14441.490180
2025-12-07 418.965301 677.485823 1115.953345 1955.290752 3627.067560 7064.886021 15472.857037
2025-12-14 385.740011 633.319608 1061.266636 1899.157192 3614.780551 7262.718544 16577.446067
2025-12-21 353.960826 589.292982 1003.213773 1830.712823 3569.156386 7383.428982 17529.522507
2025-12-28 344.452496 583.836909 1014.462431 1899.015700 3820.967052 8216.622881 20568.361494
2026-01-04 330.560691 569.204536 1007.115584 1928.601949 3992.237129 8893.002088 23376.688802
2026-01-11 316.113204 552.332495 993.864841 1944.151189 4133.698540 9522.900034 26243.349318
2026-01-18 302.468287 535.868851 979.866379 1956.326133 4268.832289 10162.611560 29347.415644
2026-01-25 294.571939 529.725358 985.627321 2012.083519 4517.208801 11152.764522 33945.625008
2026-02-01 284.774520 519.101547 981.333195 2044.706489 4713.116035 12040.161393 38523.596651
2026-02-08 274.507092 506.767930 972.415630 2065.623493 4882.278173 12887.647031 43290.272567
2026-02-15 265.083959 495.432615 964.600355 2088.198574 5059.501434 13799.090584 48687.978362
2026-02-22 257.629968 487.558332 963.466878 2126.664469 5286.384280 14917.936835 55446.101269